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ARK's open-source model puts Tesla at $4,400 a share by 2031
ARK Invest published an updated version of its open-source Tesla model, which estimates the stock at about $4,400 a share in 2031. According to the source, the robotaxi accounts for about 80% of the projected value and Optimus for about 15%. This is an analyst projection, not an official Tesla forecast. The text does not detail the robotaxi adoption assumptions or the expected timeline for its deployment.
- ARK estimates Tesla's stock at about $4,400 a share for 2031.
- The robotaxi accounts for about 80% of the model's value; Optimus, about 15%.
🔎 Why it matters: ARK Invest's 2031 projection of about $4,400 a share rests almost entirely on the robotaxi, which accounts for about 80% of the model's value. Optimus adds another 15%, so these two businesses make up most of the estimate.
📈 Upside: The model is open-source, so its assumptions can be reviewed directly.
📉 Risk: If the robotaxi does not scale as projected, about 80% of the value estimate would be left without support.
🤖 Editorial summary of the cited source, with AI-assisted analysis -- not HgYperDrive original reporting. The original source is linked above for verification. More on how this works: editorial policy →