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Unconfirmed: Qwen-Drive 1.0 vs. FSD 12.6 footage in Phoenix

📍 Reddit Tesla FSD

Unconfirmed: a Reddit user ran Qwen-Drive 1.0 (4B), Alibaba's open-source model, on their own TeslaCam footage from a Model 3 with HW3 and FSD 12.6 in Phoenix. It is not a head-to-head test: FSD drove the car and Qwen only observed. Every 0.5 seconds the model received camera frames and the car's recent motion, and predicted the next 5 seconds of driving. In the video, Qwen's predicted path appears in cyan and FSD's actual path in magenta; a chart compares planned and actual speeds. A constant-velocity baseline was used for reference.…

🔎 Why it matters: No official confirmation: the author claims to have compared Qwen-Drive 1.0 (4B) predicted trajectories with actual FSD 12.6 driving on a HW3 Model 3, using Phoenix clips.
📈 Upside: It contrasts planned and actual trajectories and speeds on the same clip, against a constant-velocity baseline.
📉 Risk: Qwen did not control the car, so the comparison measures observational prediction, not closed-loop driving.
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