โ
Confirmed
Financial
Financial
Tesla releases Q2 2026 delivery consensus from analysts
Tesla has released the official delivery consensus for Q2 2026, based on estimates from 21 analysts compiled by its Investor Relations team. Tesla is expected to deliver 406,024 vehicles, with 392,662 being Model 3/Y and 12,978 other models including Cybertruck, Model S/X, and Tesla Semi. This would represent a 12% increase over Q1 2026 but slightly below the 410,831 units delivered in Q2 2025, when tax incentives boosted sales. For energy storage, consensus from 17 analysts estimates 13.8 GWh deployed, a 36% increase over Q1, supported by near-full capacity at the Shanghai Megafactory and new
- 406,024 deliveries expected in Q2 2026, 12% increase over Q1 2026
- 13.8 GWh energy storage estimated, 36% higher than Q1 2026
๐ Why it matters: The Q2 2026 delivery consensus provides concrete expectations on Tesla's production and sales, including specific models and energy storage deployments.
๐ Upside: The 12% delivery increase and 36% energy storage growth indicate operational growth and business expansion.
๐ Risk: Deliveries may fall slightly below Q2 2025 due to reduced tax incentives.
๐ค Automated analysis and summary. Every story links its original source for verification.